Paris Saint Germain VS Borussia Dortmund Match Prediction
2020-03-11
20:00:00
Paris Saint Germain
VS
Borussia Dortmund
Our Prediction Tip
Paris Saint Germain will win this match.
2020-03-1120:00:00 Paris Saint Germain will win this match.
Borussia Dortmund will be happy with a repeat of their goalless draw in Paris in their previous European meetings with Paris Saint-Germain during the 2010-11 Europa League group stage. On that occasion, they drew 1-1 at home so Erling Haaland’s double, either side of Neymar’s equaliser, in the first leg ensured they became the first of these two teams to triumph in this fixture.
Paris Saint-Germain have home advantage as they look to qualify for the quarter-finals by overcoming a 2-1 first-leg deficit, but they will have no fans in the stadium due to coronavirus fears.
What impact that has remains to be seen, but the atmosphere will be an unusual one as the free-scoring French side take on their in-form German opponents.
As with the first leg, expect goals in this fixture – PSG have scored 13 in three matches since their first-leg defeat, while Dortmund have added plenty this season too.
Erling Haaland, their first-leg star, has scored plenty, while Jadon Sancho has hit 17 goals and added a further 17 assists too.
For PSG, Kylian Mbappe has been the recent pick of their all-star attack with six goals in his last three appearances. Neymar is back, meanwhile, and scored another in the win at Lyon last time out, and Pablo Sarabia is the latest to have got in on the act.
Defensively, however, there are still concerns and that should be something to give Dortmund confidence.
PSG conceded three times in the win against Bordeaux that followed beating Dortmund last time out and another goal conceded in this match will cancel out their away goal and put Dortmund in charge.
Paris Saint-Germain are favourites to beat Borussia Dortmund at home, but with Dortmund in good form the draw – at 13/4 with 888sport – looks a good price.
Dortmund are big favourites to qualify, meanwhile, and can be backed at 4/5 with Ladbrokes.
Both teams to score, with two fierce attacking units going head-to-head, is just a best price of 2/5 with Bet365 and Betway, however.
Over 2.5 goals, meanwhile, is a best price of 1/2 with 10Bet, and over 3.5 goals could even be worth a look at 19/20 with Betfair.
Erling Haaland scored twice in the first leg and he is 27/20 with 888sport to score at any time, while in-form Kylian Mbappe is evens with Betfair and Paddy Power.
Borussia Dortmund have a good home record in Europe and recent matches for both teams suggest you can expect goals in this one.
Pablo Sarabia started the Coupe de France win against Lyon ahead of Angel di Maria and his recent goals have certainly merited his inclusion. That is a key selection decision, as is whether to select Edinson Cavani or Mauro Icardi to partner Kylian Mbappe. Thiago Silva’s injury means Thilo Kehrer could start alongside Marquinhos again.
Kylian Mbappe – Scored six goals in PSG’s last three matches to move to 29 goals so far this season to lead the goalscoring charts.
Neymar – Scored in the first leg and returned from suspension to score a penalty in the win at Lyon last time out too – moving to 17 goals in 21 appearances this season.
Marquinhos – PSG conceded twice against Dortmund in the first leg, and the Brazilian centre-back – who scored two goals of his own in the following game – knows more conceded could prove fatal to their chances.
PSG have won all three matches since the defeat in Dortmund, scoring 13 goals in the process. Edinson Cavani opened the scoring, Marquinhos scored twice and Kylian Mbappe hit the fourth as they beat Bordeaux 4-3, before Neymar’s late red card for two bookable offences. Mbappe then scored twice more and Pablo Sarabia and Mauro Icardi got the others in a 4-0 win at home to Dijon. Most recently, they beat Lyon 5-1 in the Coupe de France – Mbappe scoring a hat-trick and Neymar and Pablo Sarabia netting the others as they came from 1-0 down to win against ten men.
Jadon Sancho was rested at the weekend, appearing only as a second-half substitute, but he could come back into the starting line-up for this second leg against PSG.
Erling Haaland – Scored twice in the first leg to continue his outstanding goal-scoring start to life with Borussia Dortmund.
Jadon Sancho – The English teenager has 17 goals and 17 assists in all competitions for Borussia Dortmund, proving his attacking value.
Mats Hummels – Dortmund’s recent defensive improvement bodes well for this second leg, and the experienced defender will be at the heart of that.
Borussia Dortmund have won their last five matches, including three in the Bundesliga since their first-leg win in this tie. Dan-Axel Zagadou and Erling Haaland scored in a 2-0 win at Werder Bremen, before Jadon Sancho’s winner at home to Freiburg. Last weekend, they beat rivals Borussia Monchengladbach as Thorgan Hazard and Achraf Hakimi scored in a 2-1 away win.
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