Norway VS Germany Match Prediction

  • Logo2016-09-04
  • Logo18:45:00

Our Prediction Tip

Germany will win this match.

It will come as no surprise to learn that multiple-time world champions Germany tend to dominate the Scandinavian side – they do almost everyone. The Germans have won 13 of their 19 meetings with Norway, with five draws and just one victory for the Norwegians coming back in 2009.


Norway vs Germany: Prediction

This Norwegian side is so unpredictable – beating Iceland one minute, losing to Belarus the next – that making case for or against them is fraught with danger. When playing a side as good as Germany though, we’re happy to come down on the side of the visitors.

You know exactly what you’re going to get with the Germans; outstanding efficiency and organisation, and this talented young squad is capable of breaking down any side. They may have a few players out injured – the likes of Jerome Boateng, Mario Gotze and Marco Reus will miss the game – but they have such strength in depth that they can overcome those obstacles.

They tend to qualify with the minimum of fuss for big tournaments too, and this is a match they will expect to take three points from. We can’t really see any reason to disagree. 

Norway vs Germany Betting Tips

Norway simply aren’t up to the standard of their opponents here, and it would require them to over-perform quite markedly – and Germany to have a serious off day – if they are to take anything from the match. But Germans very rarely have off days when it comes to football, so backing them at 1/2 is just value enough to return a decent profit.

The concerns for Norway are defensive; Germany have players all across the park who can score, and it speaks volumes that the Norwegians’ first choice centre back plays in the German second division. That is rather alarming when coming up against Muller, Draxler, Ozil and co.

Norway have a habit of playing high scoring encounters: recently they have beaten Iceland 3-2 and lost 0-3 to Portugal and 2-3 to Belgium, and there is plenty of evidence to suggest Germany will be looking for goals here. Backing the Over 2.5 Goal market at 4/5 is thus wise.

With Gotze and Mario Gotze missing the game through injury, there is a chance that Thomas Muller will fill the void as central striker. If he does, the goal-hungry Bayern man looks great value at Evens to find the net at any point. 

You could say that 2016 has been a disappointing year for Norwegian football: they lost out on a place at Euro 2016 after losing to Hungary in a play-off, and their only other outlet of action in friendlies has returned some rather frustrating results, including a 0-1 loss to Belarus last time out. Welcoming the world champions straight after their European Championship disappointment is not ideal. 

Norway likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:- Orjan Nyland

  • Defenders:- Jonas Svensson, Even Hovland, Martin Linnes, Haitam Aleesami

  • Midfielders:- Markus Henriksen, Per Skjelbred, Stefan Johansen, Veton Berisha, Joshua King

  • Forwards:- Adama Diomande

After the emotion of losing to France in the last four of Euro 2016, not to mention Bastian Schweinsteiger’s testimonial, Joachim Low will rally his troops for the start of their defence of their World Cup campaign. That begins here in Oslo, and his side will be looking to get off to a flying start.

Germany likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:- Manuel Neuer

  • Defenders:- Joshua Kimmich, Benedikt Howedes, Mats Hummels, Jonas Hector

  • Midfielders:- Sami Khedira, Toni Kroos, Julian Draxler, Mesut Ozil, Andre Schurrle

  • Forwards:- Thomas Muller

Germany will be desperate to successfully defend their World Cup crown following the disappointment of Euro 2016, and while the tournament itself may be some two years away the journey starts right here in Oslo on Sunday. They will want to get off to a flying start. The problem for Norway is that while they have a talented bunch of players, they are typically a bunch of nomads and wanderers from across Europe. They simply don\'t have the quality of Germany, and as we have seen from the Norwegians they do have this habit of conceding rather simple goals. The reasons for this are unclear, but one thing we do know is that if they give Germany a sight off goal they will more often than not take it.
Germany have won 68% of their meetings with Norway, and there is a feeling that this German vintage is as good as anything that has come before it. You would suggest their chances of beating Norway here are slightly higher than that percentage.