Mexico VS Germany Match Prediction

  • Logo2016-08-04
  • Logo20:00:00
Mexico
VS
Germany

Our Prediction Tip

Germany will win this match.

Germany certainly have the advantage in this game if the head-to-head record between the two nations is anything to go off, with the Europeans boasting two wins and two draws from their four historic matches against Mexico. 

The match between the teams at the 1998 World Cup ended in a 2-1 win to Germany, but the most recent game was a 3-3 draw at the Confederations Cup in 2005, a game in which Germany had a player sent off.

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Mexico v Germany: Prediction

Germany have been made the favourites for this game but Mexico are often underrated at international level and their gold medal experience from four years ago gives them a boost. However, Germany's squad looks extremely strong, with a number of players who would not have looked out of place in their team at Euro 2016, so they are understandably favoured to win here.

Mexico v Germany: Betting Tips

A price of 5/4 on Germany to get their Olympic Games off to a winning start looks generous considering the strength of their squad for the tournament, while Mexico can be backed at odds of 21/10 for this match. Early games in tournaments can often be tight and tense affairs, so the value selection might well be the 11/5 available on a draw in this fixture.

Defending champions Mexico are among the favourites for gold again in Brazil, with the experience of striker Oribe Peralta, a key man in their surprise success at London 2012, likely to be a decisive factor in their chances of glory.

Jorge Torres and Alfredo Talavera are the other two overage players named in the Mexico squad, which is oddly light on midfield options, although winger Hirving Lozano is a huge talent who has been linked with a move to Manchester United this summer.

Mexico likely XI:

Talavera, Abella, Aguirre, Torres, Silva, Gonzalez, Gutierrez, Perez, Bueno, Peralta, Lozano.

Germany have taken a very strong squad to the Olympic Games, with the likes of Matthias Ginter (Borussia Dortmund) and Leon Goretzka (Schalke) set to have massive futures in the game.

Experience comes from the Bender brothers Sven and Lars, who will provide a solid base in the midfield, although the strikers, Nils Petersen and Davie Selke, do not look particularly strong. 

Star power also comes from another Schalke star, Max Meyer, with Serge Gnabry of Arsenal also a talent worth keeping an eye out for at the Games.

Germany likely XI:

Horn, Ginter, Klostermann, Sule, Max, Bender, Bender, Goretzka, Meyer, Gnabry, Petersen.

Germany may lack a reliable goalscorer, but they have so much quality in midfield that this may prove to be a moot point, while Mexico will need to create plenty of chances for their key forward Peralta if they are to have a successful campaign. The Germans always seem to produce their best at tournaments regardless of the age group, so they should get the points in this match, although it may well be by a single goal.
Mexico have never beaten Germany in four meetings between the two sides.