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Germany vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips

Out-of-form Germany enter a new era with a friendly at home to Serbia, to be played in Wolfsburg.

GER D W L L W Germany
VS
Serbia SRB W W D W D

Match Information

 Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg, Germany Volkswagen Arena, Wolfsburg, Germany

Non-Tournament Matches Friendly
  • Key Stat

    Key Stat: Despite their poor form, Germany are actually unbeaten in their last five matches on German soil - winning three and drawing two of those.

  • Expert Verdict

    Expert Verdict: Joachim Low is rebuilding for the future after Germany's disastrous World Cup was followed by a disappointing UEFA Nations League campaign. Jerome Boateng, Mats Hummels and Thomas Muller have been told they do not feature in Low's plans going forward and now is the time for the next generation to step up - a home friendly against Serbia is a good chance to do that.

Germany

Our prediction

Germany

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GermanyGermany Team News, Updates and Facts

Germany

Germany Team News

Joachim Low has already confirmed he will not be selecting Thomas Muller, Mats Hummels and Jerome Boateng going forward, which gives an opportunity for new players to step up. Leroy Sane seems to have won Low over and scored in each of the last two matches, while Lukas Klosterman, Niklas Stark and Maximilian Eggestein could all make their German debuts. Manchester City midfielder Ilkay Gundogan has been recalled, meanwhile, while Joshua Kimmich has been retained despite slamming the decision to write off his three experienced club team-mates.

Germany Key Players

Timo Werner – Scored in the draw with the Netherlands to end a long spell without an international goal – having previously made a great start to his Germany career.
Marco Reus – One of the key figures in Borussia Dortmund’s superb season so far with 14 goals and six assists in the Bundesliga.
Leroy Sane – Goals in each of the last two matches and another brilliant season at club level should mean his World Cup omission is now firmly in the past.

Germany Team Form

Germany drew both home games during the UEFA Nations League against France and the Netherlands but away defeats saw them finish bottom of their group. They are unbeaten in their last two matches, however, having played both matches in November in Germany. First they beat Russia 3-0 thanks to goals from Leroy Sane, Niklas Sule and Serge Gnabry, and then drew 2-2 with the Dutch after Timo Werner and Sane scored early goals – the Netherlands hitting back in the final five minutes.

Germany Predicted Starting Line up

Expected Line up: 4-2-3-1

Germany likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Manuel Neuer

  • Defenders:Thilo Kehrer, Niklas Sule, Antonio Rudiger, Nico Schulz

  • Defensive Midfielders:Ilkay Gundogan, Toni Kroos

  • Attacking Midfielders:Leroy Sane, Marco Reus, Serge Gnabry

  • Forwards:Timo Werner

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SerbiaSerbia Team News, Updates and Facts

Serbia

Serbia Team News

Nikola Vasiljevic and Miroslav Bogosavac are the only uncapped players in the Serbian squad to face Germany and Portugal, with very little change from the squad which faced Lithuania in November. Filip Kostic and Sergej Milinkovic-Savic are the most notable returnees. Marko Grujic’s refusal to accept an under-21 call-up after the World Cup sees him miss out. 

Serbia Key Players

Aleksandar Mitrovic – Goals have dried up in the Premier League for the Fulham striker, but for Serbia he has six in his last five internationals.
Dusan Tadic – Enjoying a superb season with Ajax and will hope that attacking form can be translated onto the international stage.
Aleksandar Kolarov – The captain’s experience remains crucial and the Roma wing-back also serves up dangerous set pieces at the other end.

Serbia Team Form

Despite going to the World Cup in the summer, Serbia’s lowly ranking meant they had to play in the third tier of the UEFA Nations League before Christmas – but they made light work of their group, winning four and drawing two of their six matches. The two draws were against Romania, but two wins apiece against Montenegro and Lithuania secured top spot. Adem Ljajic and Aleksandar Mitrovic scored in a 2-1 defeat of the former in November, before both men netted again, along with an own goal and Aleksandar Prijovic’s strike, to seal top spot with a 4-1 defeat of Lithuania.

Serbia Predicted Starting Line up

Expected Line up: 4-2-3-1

Serbia likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Predrag Rajkovic

  • Defenders:Antonio Rukavina, Nikola Milenkovic, Milos Veljkovic, Aleksandar Kolarov

  • Defensive Midfielders:Nemanja Matic, Sergej Milinkovic-Savic

  • Attacking Midfielders:Dusan Tadic, Adem Ljajic, Mijat Gacinovic

  • Forwards:Aleksandar Mitrovic

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Germany vs Serbia Head-to-Head Stats

Since the break-up of Yugoslavia and then Montenegrin independence, Serbia and Germany have played each other twice. The Germans won a 2008 friendly 2-1 but Milan Jovanovic scored as Serbia won 1-0 when they met in the 2010 World Cup group stage.

Germany vs Serbia Recommended bets with odds

Germany’s poor 2018 has not deterred the bookmakers from making them comfortable favourites to win this one. You can back the hosts at 7/17 to win with 10Bet.

Question marks still remain about their defence, however – and Serbia have the attacking players to make a difference too. A Germany win and BTTS is a best price of 21/10 with Bet365 and Betway.

Both teams to score has been set at 10/11 with Betway, meanwhile, and over 2.5 goals is priced at 4/6 with Bet365, Ladbrokes and 10Bet.

Timo Werner will lead the line for Germany and he is 21/20 to score at any time with Ladbrokes. Leroy Sane netted in both matches in November, meanwhile, and the Manchester City winger is a best price of 21/10 with Betway to score at any time.

GER vs SRB Betting Tips

Germany are unbeaten on home soil in their last five matches despite their otherwise poor form and that should give them confidence as they look for a positive start to 2019.

It is fair to say 2018 was a disaster for the Germans – knocked out in the World Cup group stage having been defending champions and joint favourites, before relegation from the top UEFA Nations League tier.

But there still remains plenty of cause for optimism in what is still a young squad – players like Leroy Sane, Thilo Kehrer, Niklas Sule, Timo Werner and Julian Brandt must now step up and lead them into this new era.

Serbia have some in-form options of their own, including Dusan Tadic – who has been central to Ajax’s success so far this season – and they are in good form.

But there is a difference between topping their group at the third tier of the UEFA Nations League and facing Germany away from home.

Sane’s pace and skill could make for a tricky evening for captain Aleksandar Kolarov, while the absence of Mats Hummels and Jerome Boateng at the back mean the likes of Sule have a lot to prove too against Aleksandar Mitrovic.

Bigger tests lie ahead for Germany as they look to bounce back from their annus miserablis but a home win against Serbia would at least provide a platform to build from.

Germany vs Serbia Prediction

Joachim Low has already made some bold selection decisions ahead of this one. It feels like a new era for Germany and they need to kick it off with a win.

Correct Score Prediction: Germany 2-1 Serbia

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