Germany VS France Match Prediction

  • Logo2016-07-07
  • Logo19:00:00
Germany
VS
France

Our Prediction Tip

Germany will win this match.

The head-to-head record between these two nations is very close, with Germany having 10 wins compared to the 12 France can boast, with five draws making up their other meetings. The last meeting between the teams in a major international tournament came in the 2014 World Cup, with Germany running out 1-0 winners on their way to lifting the trophy. 

France came out on top with a 1-0 win when they played Germany in November 2015 friendly.

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Germany v France: Prediction

Germany needed penalties to squeeze past Italy in the last round and their extra-time exertions could be crucial here. France have had a day fewer to recover but they ran out easy 5-2 winners over Iceland in their last game, with Didier Deschamps' men visibly easing off in the second half.

This clash between two heavyweight European nations is extremely hard to call, with France showing off their attacking talent in the crushing of Iceland, although Germany have only conceded one goal at the finals and will be tougher to break down than Lars Lagerback's side.

Germany v France: Betting Tips

The bookmakers cannot split these two teams, with 9/5 available on either side to win in 90 minutes, while the draw has been priced up at around the 2/1 mark. It is a similar story in the market to qualify for the final, with France and Germany both offered in the region of 10/11 to extend their stay at the tournament. A tight game seems likely, so the 6/11 on under 2.5 goals makes sense, even at low odds, while 5/1 on a 1-1 draw stands out from the correct score market.

Germany coach Joachim Low is without defensive leader Mats Hummels through suspension, with Shkodran Mustafi, who scored in their opening game, expected to come into the back line.

There are also injury doubts over Mario Gomez and Bastian Schweinsteiger, with Sami Khedira's last injury problem likely to rule him out of the semi-final. It could therefore be a much-changed Germany team compared to the side that started the quarter-final against Italy.

Low played a three-man defence against Italy but is expected to return to 4-2-3-1 here.

Germany likely XI: 

Neuer, Kimmich, Mustafi, Boateng, Hector, Kroos, Weigl, Muller, Ozil, Draxler, Gotze.

Adil Rami and N'Golo Kante are available after serving suspensions in the 5-2 quarter-final win over Iceland, but Didier Deschamps may keep faith with the team that won in the last round. Conceding two goals against the minnows could see Rami replace Samuel Umtiti, however, with Moussa Sissoko having deputised to reasonable effect in place of Kante last time out.

Antoine Griezmann is on track to win the Golden Boot as he now has four goals at the finals, although team-mates Olivier Giroud and Dimitri Payet are both close behind on three strikes each.

France likely XI: 

Lloris, Sagna, Rami, Koscielny, Evra, Kante, Matuidi, Pogba, Payet, Giroud, Griezmann.

Anything could happen at this stage of the tournament, but France\'s defence has seemed more brittle than Germany\'s throughout Euro 2016. In fact, France conceded more goals against Iceland than Germany have in their five games at the finals so far. That could give Germany the edge, but is seems inevitable this game will go to extra-time, or possibly even penalties. If it is to be spot-kicks, then Low\'s men would surely come out on top despite the home support being in favour of France.
Germany have advanced in seven straight major-tournament knock-out games against host nations.