Brighton & Hove VS Burnley Match Prediction

  • Logo2019-09-14
  • Logo14:00:00
Brighton & Hove
VS
Burnley

Our Prediction Tip

Burnley will win this match.

In 22 meetings, Burnley lead the way in the tie with seven wins, ten draws, and five losses to Brighton.

Here's a look at the last five results:

Feb 9, 2019: Brighton 1-3 Burnley
Dec 8, 2018: Burnley 1-0 Brighton
Apr 28, 2018: Burnley 0-0 Brighton
Dec 16, 2017: Brighton 0-0 Burnley
Apr 2, 2016: Brighton 2-2 Burnley (Championship)

Brighton vs Burnley Betting Tips and Odds

Bet365 have the following odds available for this match:

Brighton are at 11/10, a draw is at 11/5, and Burnley are at 13/5.

Brighton started their season hot and fast, winning their opener in dominant fashion and Watford and then coming home to get a point with West Ham, but since then they have been cooled down a little bit and brought down to earth with a home loss to Southampton and an away defeat to Manchester City.  The latter is nothing to be ashamed of, but it leaves them only a point above the drop they so closely escaped last term.  They will certainly not want to lose a third in a row here to put more pressure on them.

Burnley will enter the fifth match of the season on the number of points but are sitting in 12th due to goal difference currently.  They got off to a flier with a win over Southampton to start the season but they then lost to Arsenal and then lost at home to Liverpool with a draw to Wolves sandwiched in between.  While those results don’t look great, it’s not awful at all due to the relative size and strength of the teams there.  That they got a point from those three should be viewed as a positive, so this will be much more in their wheelhouse.  

Betfair have no for both sides scoring at 1.9.

Barnes scoring anytime can be had at Ladbrokes for 21/10.

Brighton vs Burnley Prediction

Brighton are still such an unknown quantity that it’s hard to predict for them, especially given how well Burnley have played against them in the past few years.  For those reasons, the Clarets grind out a win away from home.  

Correct Score Prediction: Brighton 0-1 Burnley

Brighton Team News

Graham Potter no longer has Florian Andone as part of the team.  Apart from him, the likes of Jose Izqueirdo, Yves Bissouma, and Ezequiel Schelotto are out injured.

Brighton Key Man

Neil Maupay didn’t take long to make an impact in the Championship, and he didn’t take too long to make one in the Premier League, either.  However, as the weeks go by, it’s likely to get harder for him, conventional wisdom would suggest.  With that said, he has a chance to buck that trend and prove otherwise here.  In midfield, Dutchman Davy Propper is an important cog in the machine.  For a time he had held down a place in the Netherlands squad, such was his level of form.  He has cooled off a bit, but he’s still no less a player to watch.  

Brighton Team Form

Brighton have two losses, two wins, and a draw in their last five matches:

4-0 loss at Manchester City 
1-2 win at Bristol Rovers (EFL Cup)
0-2 home loss vs Southampton
1-1 home draw vs West Ham 
0-3 win at Watford

Brighton Predicted Starting Line up

Expected Line up: 3-4-3

Burnley Team News

Sean Dyche has very minimal injury worries right now, with only winger Johann Berg Gudmundsson looking like a doubt to feature.

Burnley Key Man

Ashley Barnes might not be your kind of striker, but boy is it ever effective.  The English veteran has never received a call up to the national side and probably never will, but he’s only gotten better with age.  He has four goals already this season, following up what was a strong campaign last term.  His strike partner Chris Wood has ‘only’ scored once so far, but the Seagulls will know well of the threat the lanky Kiwi represents.  He scored twice back in February to help them run out with a win and he will look to rebound after an own goal last time out.  

Burnley Team Form

Burnley have three losses, a draw, and a win in their last five matches:

0-3 home loss vs Liverpool
1-3 home loss vs Sunderland (EFL Cup)
1-1 draw at Wolves
2-1 loss at Arsenal
3-0 home win vs Southampton

Burnley Predicted Starting Line up

Expected Line up: 4-4-2

It's been a while since Brighton were able to get one over on Burnley, so that is going to be a nice pattern to look upon if you are a fan of the Clarets here. Furthermore, the fact that Brighton are slumping after a strong start will not be all that welcoming, either. Things can go from good to abysmal in the blink of an eye in the Premier League, and Burnley's win here could set off a chain of events.
Burnley are unbeaten in their last seven fixtures against Brighton, counting both Premier League and Championship matches.