Roma VS Lazio Match Prediction

  • Logo2017-04-30
  • Logo10:30:00
Roma
VS
Lazio

Our Prediction Tip

Roma will win this match.

In all competitions, the Derby Della Capitale has been contested 183 times, with Roma winning 69 and Lazio 51. Lazio's win  in the first leg of their Coppa Italia semi-final was actually their first derby success since the 2013 Coppa Italia final, however. Here are the results of their last five games in all competitions:

Apr 04, 2017: Roma 3-2 Lazio
Mar 01, 2017: Lazio 2-0 Roma
Dec 04, 2016: Lazio 0-2 Roma
Apr 03, 2016: Lazio 1-4 Roma
Nov 08, 2015: Roma 2-0 Lazio

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Roma vs Lazio Prediction

Lazio's 2-0 win in the first leg of the Coppa Italia semi-final was a rare one in this fixture. Rome have had the better of their fierce rivals in recent times, and that can continue on Sunday.

Correct Score Prediction: Roma 3-2 Lazio

Roma vs Lazio Betting Tips and Odds

Roma are odds on favourites to win on Sunday, with Bet365 offering 17/20 on a Roma win. The draw is 14/5 with Betfair and William Hill, while Lazio are as high as 16/5 with Bet365, Ladbrokes and William Hill.

Both teams to score has been set at 4/9 for yes and 13/8 for no (Bet365).

Reason: Roma have been in resurgent form of late, and start as favourites for the Rome Derby. With both sides in form in front of goal, it is easy to see why the odds are so short on both scoring.

Team News

Long-term absentee Alessandro Florenzi aside, Roma are at full strength for the derby, meaning decisions must be made over whether Daniele de Rossi should return in midfield, having dropped to the bench for the 4-1 win at Pescara. De Rossi is battling with Leandro Paredes for a place in the starting XI. Stephan El Shaarawy set up three of the four goals in that 4-1 win, and should continue on the left-wing in place of Diego Perotti. Roma legend Francesco Totti is fit again, and likely to be back on the bench.

Key Man

Edin Dzeko has broken Roma's record for most goals in a season than any other Roma striker before him, with 35 to his name in all competitions so far this season.

Team Form

Roma's title hopes were dented by a 1-1 draw with Atalanta in their most recent home game, but they bounced back to win 4-1 in Pescara last time out. Prior to the draw with Atalanta, Roma had won six in a row, including their second-leg Coppa Italia semi-final win at home to Lazio.

Expected Line-up: 4-3-3

Roma likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Szczesny

  • Defenders:Rudiger, Manolas, Fazio, Emerson

  • Midfielders:Naingollan, De Rossi, Strootman

  • Forwards:Mohamed Salah, Dzeko, El Shaarawy

Team News

Stefan Radu is expected to return after missing last weekend’s win at home to Palermo with flu. After his stunning first-half hat-trick, Keita is likely to continue up front. Lazio's only injury concern is goalkeeper Federico Marchetti, with Thomas Strakosha deputising until the end of the season.

Key Man

Ciro Immobile has been in top form in front of goal, scoring two in the win at home to Palermo last weekend to take him to 23 in all competitions this season.

Team Form

Lazio bounced back from three games without a win by thrashing Palermo 6-2 last weekend - a game in which they were 5-0 after 26 minutes. Defeat in their second-leg of their Coppa Italia semi-final tie - though not enough to deny Lazio a place in the final - was followed by a 3-0 home defeat to Napoli and 2-2 draw with Genoa as Lazio lost ground on the Champions League spots, however.

Expected Line-up: 3-5-2

Lazio likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Straskosha

  • Defenders:De Vrij, Hoedt, Radu

  • Midfielders:Anderson, Parola, Biglia, Milinkovic-Savic, Lulic

  • Forwards:Immobile, Keita

Roma have been the better team in the league and boast the better record in recent fixtures between these two. With Mohammed Salah, Edin Dzeko and Stephan El Shaarawy all in inspired form up front, Lazio will have their work cut out.
Roma striker Edin Dzeko is the joint-top scorer in Serie A this season, with 25 goals to his name. The Bosnian has scored 35 in all competitions.