Germany VS Mexico Match Prediction

  • Logo2017-06-29
  • Logo18:00:00
Germany
VS
Mexico

Our Prediction Tip

Germany will win this match.

Germany and Mexico have met four times in the past, and Mexico have never won.  Germany have two victories and two draws against the Mexicans.  The last meeting came back in the 2005 edition of the Confederations Cup, and that match saw Germany win 4-3 in extra time thanks to a Michael Ballack winner.  Here's a look at all four results:

Jun 5, 2005: Germany 4-3 Mexico (Confederations Cup)
Jun 29, 1998: Germany 2-1 Mexico (World Cup)
Dec 21, 1993: Mexico 0-0 Germany (Friendlies)
Oct 13, 1992: Germany 1- Mexico (Friendlies)

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Germany vs Mexico Betting Tips and Odds

Bet365 have the following odds available for this match:

Germany are at 11/10 to win, a draw is at 12/5, and a Mexico win is at 13/5.

Both teams to score is at 7/10 for yes and 21/20 for no.

A 1-0 Germany win could bring you 13/1 odds if correct at the full time whistle.

Reason:

Germany have never lost to Mexico before, and that is definitely a big factor in these odds.  Germany also have a lot more experience winning at this level, and their manager is more established in Europe than Mexico's.  However, they do have a very young side that they have called up.  That means that they aren't quite the favorites that they otherwise would be.  Still yet, the reigning World champions are in their home continent and have been better than Mexico on average, so that gives them the edge.

Germany vs Mexico Prediction

This will once again be a very tight match.  Germany will get out in front, and Mexico just won't be able to recover and win this time around.

Correct Score Prediction: Germany 2-1 Mexico

 

Team News

Joachim Low went with a three man back line on Sunday, and that will likely continue when they face Mexico on Thursday, as they will want to match them man-for-man.  After a brilliant debut goal, Kerem Demirbay will be in contention to keep his place as a starter.  The same can be said for two-goal man Timo Werner.  The Germans have no injuries or suspensions for their manager to deal with, but he will have to select one of the three goalkeepers to start, as all three have seen time so far.  Ter Stegen should be the one to get the nod.

Key Man

The spirit of the German campaign has been one of allowing the youth- all of them- to have a chance to play.  But it would be foolish to take Timo Werner out after his two goals on Sunday. The RB Leipzig man is tipped for huge things in the future, and he will be a constant threat to Mexico with his speed, size, and finishing ability.

Team Form

Germany have three wins and two draws in their past five matches.  They drew 1-1 in Denmark in a friendly before facing San Marino at home in World Cup qualification, coming away with an easy 7-0 win.  They began the Confederations Cup with a win over Australia 2-3, and they followed it up with a 1-1 draw against Chile.  On Sunday, they won the group after a 3-1 win over Cameroon.

Germany Predicted Starting Line-up

Expected Line-up: 3-4-3

Germany likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Ter Stegen

  • Defenders:Sule, Ginter, Rudiger

  • Midfielders:Kimmich, Rudy, Can, Plattenhardt

  • Forwards:Demirbay, Draxler, Werner

Team News

Juan Carlos Osorio will have to do without suspended center midfielder Andres Guardado for this semi-final.  Defender Diego Reyes went off early with an injury, and he looks to be a doubt here. He joins fellow defender Carlos Salcedo, who is done for the tournament with injury.  Osorio will have to decide whether to once again rotate or stick with what he has.  Some key choices include whether to start Ochoa or Talavera in goal and whether Chicharito and Vela should play over the likes of Aquino and Peralta.  The answers to these questions might drive the result here.

Key Man

Hirving 'Chucky' Lozano is one man that surely cannot be left out of the lineup after his brave goal against hosts Russia last time out.  His header from outside of the box while getting clattered by a huge goalkeeper is just what Mexico needs.  Someone that can take skill and pace and combine it with raw attitude and hard work.  Lozano can impact the match as both a starter or off the bench, but the new PSV man should really get the nod.  

Team Form

Mexico have three wins and two draws in their last five matches.  They won 3-0 at home to Honduras in World Cup Qualification before playing the US at home and drawing 1-1 in a qualifier as well.  In the Confederations Cup group stage, they began with a 2-2 draw with Portugal.  A narrow 1-2 win over New Zealand followed, and they then won 1-2 after coming from behind against hosts Russia.

Mexico Predicted Starting Line-up

Expected Line-up: 3-4-3

Mexico likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Ochoa

  • Defenders:Araujo, Moreno, Alanis

  • Midfielders:Herrera, Fabian, Layun, Luis Reyes

  • Forwards:Lozano, Aquino, Chicharito

One thing can be said about this Mexico side. They play to their competition. Whether they are playing a quality side, or a side that are beneath them, they always have a way of making it entertaining. That makes this match very difficult for them, as they come up against a side that they should give a really good run (on paper) at. The Germans are young and inexperienced at this level, but they are very talented and fearless. On top of that, Germany and Mexico will both be looking to control the ball here, so that is going to be another thing to keep an eye on. If Mexico fall behind this time, they will either lose badly or run out of energy after coming from behind.
Mexico have went behind in each of their three tournament matches to date. They have yet to lose any of those matches, but their luck might just be running out.