AZ Alkmaar VS Excelsior Match Prediction
- 2017-09-24
- 14:45:00
AZ Alkmaar will win this match.
Though Excelsior haven't beaten AZ in a while, they have found draws relatively easy to come by. They got two last season. Overall, they have three wins, seven draws, and eight losses to AZ. Here's a look at the last five results:
Mar 5, 2017: AZ 1-1 Excelsior
Dec 3, 2016: Excelsior 3-3 AZ
Mar 6, 2016: AZ 2-0 Excelsior
Aug 15, 2015: Excelsior 2-2 AZ
May 17, 2015: Excelsior 1-4 AZ
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Bet365 have the following odds available for this match:
AZ Alkmaar are at 3/10 to win, a draw is at 4/1, and an Excelsior win is at 9/1.
AZ Alkmaar are massively favored to get a victory in this match due to how well they have done against Excelsior. They have often slipped up of late with draws, though, so the draw could be tantalizing on a wild punt. However, AZ are in brilliant form and it would be a huge slip up to see them lose in this one.
It's easy to see how AZ are dominating in such fashion: they are scoring two goals per match and they are keeping possession of the ball 60% of the time. When you are facing a team and can't get a hold of the ball, not only are you going to have issues scoring, but you will also be tired come the end of matches.
As a result, AZ are scoring quite a lot of late goals, along with a lot of them at other times as well, especially in the second half. This gives them a huge edge, as Excelsior are mainly scoring their goals in the first half.
Top scoring Wout Weghorst to score in the second half for AZ is at 3/1.
AZ get a win here to break the streak of draws last season.
John van den Brom has injuries to center back Ron Vlaar, right back Levi Opdam, winger Calvin Stengs, and forward Myton Boadu due to injuries.
Striker Wout Weghorst is man in top form at the moment for AZ. The 25 year old Dutchman is the leading goal scorer in the Eredivisie at the moment, and he's also scoring at a clip of 75 minutes per goal. That is putting the ball into the back of the net at a very quick pace, and he continued that in the Dutch Cup with two further goals. It would be a minor shock to see him held off the score sheet again in this match.
AZ are in hot form, having won each of their last five matches. They won 2-0 at home over ADO and 1-2 away to Vitesse. Next came a 2-1 home win over NAC Breda and a 0-2 win at Sparta Rotterdam. In the Dutch Cup on Tuesday, they won 2-3 away to MVV
Goalkeeper:Blzot
Defenders:Svensson, Hatzidiakos, Wuytens, Ouwejan
Midfielders:Veljnovic, van Overeem, Til
Forwards:Seuntjens, Jahanbaksh, Weghorst
Mitchell van der Gaag will be unable to field goalkeeper Alessandro Damen and winger Stanley Elbers due to injuries.
26 year old Dutchman Ali Messaoud has led the very modest Excelsior attack so far this season with two assists. The attacking midfielder hasn't scored a goal yet, but he's been the man that the team, who have scored less goals combined than Weghorst, plays through. His play is crucial to them, and he will not to find something to help his team unlock the opposition come Sunday.
Excelsior have four losses and a draw to show some awful recent form. They lost 0-1 at home to Feyenoord before drawing 2-2 against Heracles. Next came a 0-3 loss at home to Vitesse before a pair of home 1-2 defeats to Heerenveen in the league and then in the Dutch Cup.
Goalkeeper:Kristinsson
Defenders:Karami, Faes, de Wijs, Massop
Midfielders:Koolwijk, Falk, Messaoud
Forwards:Vermuelen, Bruins, El Azzouzi