AZ Alkmaar VS Excelsior Match Prediction

  • Logo2017-09-24
  • Logo14:45:00
AZ Alkmaar
VS
Excelsior

Our Prediction Tip

AZ Alkmaar will win this match.

Though Excelsior haven't beaten AZ in a while, they have found draws relatively easy to come by.  They got two last season.  Overall, they have three wins, seven draws, and eight losses to AZ.  Here's a look at the last five results:

Mar 5, 2017: AZ 1-1 Excelsior
Dec 3, 2016: Excelsior 3-3 AZ
Mar 6, 2016: AZ 2-0 Excelsior
Aug 15, 2015: Excelsior 2-2 AZ
May 17, 2015: Excelsior 1-4 AZ

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AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Match Tips and Odds

Bet365 have the following odds available for this match:

AZ Alkmaar are at 3/10 to win, a draw is at 4/1, and an Excelsior win is at 9/1.

AZ Alkmaar are massively favored to get a victory in this match due to how well they have done against Excelsior.  They have often slipped up of late with draws, though, so the draw could be tantalizing on a wild punt.  However, AZ are in brilliant form and it would be a huge slip up to see them lose in this one.

It's easy to see how AZ are dominating in such fashion: they are scoring two goals per match and they are keeping possession of the ball 60% of the time.  When you are facing a team and can't get a hold of the ball, not only are you going to have issues scoring, but you will also be tired come the end of matches.

As a result, AZ are scoring quite a lot of late goals, along with a lot of them at other times as well, especially in the second half.  This gives them a huge edge, as Excelsior are mainly scoring their goals in the first half.  

Top scoring Wout Weghorst to score in the second half for AZ is at 3/1.

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction

AZ get a win here to break the streak of draws last season. 

Correct Score Prediction: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Excelsior

 

Team News

John van den Brom has injuries to center back Ron Vlaar, right back Levi Opdam, winger Calvin Stengs, and forward Myton Boadu due to injuries.  

Key Man

Striker Wout Weghorst is man in top form at the moment for AZ.  The 25 year old Dutchman is the leading goal scorer in the Eredivisie at the moment, and he's also scoring at a clip of 75 minutes per goal.  That is putting the ball into the back of the net at a very quick pace, and he continued that in the Dutch Cup with two further goals.  It would be a minor shock to see him held off the score sheet again in this match.  

Team Form- WWWWW

AZ are in hot form, having won each of their last five matches.  They won 2-0 at home over ADO and 1-2 away to Vitesse.  Next came a 2-1 home win over NAC Breda and a 0-2 win at Sparta Rotterdam.  In the Dutch Cup on Tuesday, they won 2-3 away to MVV

AZ Predicted Starting Line-up

Expected Line-up: 4-3-3

AZ Alkmaar likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Blzot

  • Defenders:Svensson, Hatzidiakos, Wuytens, Ouwejan

  • Midfielders:Veljnovic, van Overeem, Til

  • Forwards:Seuntjens, Jahanbaksh, Weghorst

Team News

Mitchell van der Gaag will be unable to field goalkeeper Alessandro Damen and winger Stanley Elbers due to injuries.  

Key Man

26 year old Dutchman Ali Messaoud has led the very modest Excelsior attack so far this season with two assists.  The attacking midfielder hasn't scored a goal yet, but he's been the man that the team, who have scored less goals combined than Weghorst, plays through.  His play is crucial to them, and he will not to find something to help his team unlock the opposition come Sunday.  

Team Form - LLLDL

Excelsior have four losses and a draw to show some awful recent form.  They lost 0-1 at home to Feyenoord before drawing 2-2 against Heracles.  Next came a 0-3 loss at home to Vitesse before a pair of home 1-2 defeats to Heerenveen in the league and then in the Dutch Cup.

Excelsior Predicted Starting Line-up

Expected Line-up: 4-3-3

Excelsior likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Kristinsson

  • Defenders:Karami, Faes, de Wijs, Massop

  • Midfielders:Koolwijk, Falk, Messaoud

  • Forwards:Vermuelen, Bruins, El Azzouzi

AZ Alkmaar have rattled off five straight wins in all competitions, with their lone loss of the season coming on opening day by just a goal to a tough PSV side. They are in second right now, level on points with champions Feyenoord, as a result and should have a simple task in this match. Excelsior have just one win all season long, and they have gone five straight winless. On top of that, they are awful against AZ and awful from home. It should be a simple AZ win, hands down.
AZ haven't lost to Excelsior since back in 2011, a run of eight matches and counting now.