Tournament odds: 6/1 (Bet365)
Betting Tips and Recommended bets with odds
In many regards, Spain’s first game at the 2018 World Cup could be among their most important as they face European champions and neighbours Portugal. A victory will set them on their way to finishing top of the group, and they are 10/11 favourites with William Hill and Betfair to beat their Iberian neighbours.
Should they do that, they will expect to see of Iran and Morocco and seal top spot, which they are 1/2 with Bet365 to do. The sacking of Julen Lopetegui has thrown their preparations into chaos in some respects, but they also boast plenty of experienced players and their talent alone could be enough to see them through.
Initially finishing first or second in the group is likely to have less bearing on their progress – Uruguay, Russia or Egypt are likely to be their second-round opponents, and Spain will be favourites to beat all three of those, whoever it is that qualifies from Group A and whether or not Spain are top in Group B.
It is beyond that where it gets more important to have won the group, as the team to win Group B are expected to face Argentina as opposed to France in the last-eight if all teams progress as expected from the earlier rounds. Spain have beaten both in friendlies recently, but with Argentina out of form and Spain thrashing them 6-1 in their recent meeting, it is clear which would be the more favourable tie.
Nevertheless, regardless of their opponents, Spain should be backed at 8/13 to reach the quarter-finals and, given their recent form, odds of 11/8 to reach the semi-finals are generous too – both with Bet365.
La Roja are a best price of 10/3 to reach the final with Bet365, but Brazil and Germany – their two probable semi-final opponents – are tournament co-favourites for a reason. Indeed, the Germans are one of few teams Spain have failed to beat lately, after they drew 1-1 in March. You can get 9/2 on Spain to be eliminated in the semi-finals with Bet365.
Given the depth of talent in the Spanish squad, there are plenty of potential golden boot winners in their ranks too if they reach the sharp end of the tournament. The goals were spread around in qualifying, but after his hat-trick against Argentina (and five goals in qualifying), Isco could be a great outside bet at 66/1 with William Hill. Furthermore, William Hill will pay-out for the top four places on an each-way bet.
Recommended bet
Spain to be eliminated in the World Cup semi-finals at 9/2 with Bet365 and Isco to finish top scorer (each-way bet) at 66/1 with William Hill.