St. Marys Stadium, Southampton, England
Key Stat: Both Southampton and Burnley have 33 points from 29 games and a goal difference of -15
Expert Verdict: Burnley have struggled away from home this season, finding the net only 10 times across 14 games. However, Southampton have by no means been free scoring themselves at St Mary’s where they have scored only 18 goals in 14 games. Ultimately it will come down to whether the home side’s leaky defence allows Burnley to find their shooting boots, or if Southampton can prize open Burnley’s mean defence to register goals.
It’s 14th v 15th in this fixture as two teams who have won only one game in their last five go head to head. A win for either could see them 10 points clear of the drop, whereas a defeat could mean they are only 4 points above the relegation zone. Both Southampton and Burnley will feel that they have more than enough quality to stay in the division and only require a further 7 points to reach the magic 40 point mark. The Premier League match takes place on April 4 and the live action at the St Mary’s Stadium kicks off at 12:00 local time.
Defenders:Kyle Walker-Peters, Jan Bednarek, Jannik Vestergaard, Ryan Bertrand
Midfielders:Stuart Armstrong, James Ward-Prowse, Ibrahima Diallo, Takumi Minamino
Forwards:Che Adams, Danny Ings
Defenders:Matthew Lowton, James Tarkowski, Ben Mee, Erik Pieters
Midfielders:Johann Gudmundsson, Ashley Westwood, Josh Brownhill, Dwight McNeil
Forwards:Matej Vydra, Chris Wood
Southampton and Burnley are not just well matched this season but also historically with Burnley just holding the lead with 23 victories to Southampton’s 21. Unsurprisingly there was only one goal between the sides in their meeting earlier in the season when a fifth minute strike from Danny Ings against one of his old clubs was the difference. That was the first time that the Saints had beaten Burnley since 2015, with Burnley winning four and drawing three of the games in the interim.
Southampton are favourites and can be backed at 11/10 with 10Bet to win
A 0-0 bore draw has been set at 15/2 with Betway
Che Adams is 5/1 with 10Bet to score at any time
Both teams will be keen to pick up two more wins in the quickest time possible so they can begin planning for another season in the top flight. As such, they may see this as a prime opportunity to beat another out of form side in the lower-half of the division. We are backing Southampton to edge this in a close affair.