Greece VS Estonia Match Prediction
2018-11-18
19:45:00
Greece
VS
Estonia
Our Prediction Tip
Greece will win this match.
2018-11-1819:45:00 Greece will win this match.
Greece have won three and drawn two of their five previous matches against Estonia. Konstantinos Fortounis scored what proved to be the only goal of the game in Tallinn in September, while they were also in the same group for World Cup 2018 qualifying - Vassilis Torisidis and Kostas Stafylidis scored in a 2-0 win in Estonia, before a goalless draw in the reverse fixture.
%HEAD-TO-HEAD-STATS-BANNER%
Greece got back to winning ways last time out but the 1-0 win against Finland was not enough to stop the visitors claiming top spot.
The Greeks can – and should – bounce back against Estonia, however, to ensure they finish on a high. Estonia are without a win in their last seven matches and have won just one of their last 12 in total.
They scored three goals at home to Hungary last month but even then only drew and, while their defence has generally been good in this competition it is now five goals conceded in their two games to the Hungarians.
Greece only needed one goal to beat Estonia last time they played – Kostas Mitroglou providing it – and the Marseille striker will want to sign off the UEFA League as he started it.
Estonia, on the other hand, are without Henri Anier up front and will come up against a defence determined not to concede on captain Vassilis Torosidis’ 100th appearance.
With Sokratis also providing experience, and Odysseas Vlachodimos hoping to add to his debut clean sheet in place of Orestis Karnezis in goal, Estonia will have their work cut out getting on the board.
A Greece win will only be enough to cement second place but anything less than that would be a surprise result. Estonia are in poor form and it is hard to see them getting anything from this game.
Greece are big odds-on favourites to beat Estonia, with 10Bet and 888sport both offering 3/10 on a home win.
They kept a clean sheet in the win against Finland last time out, meanwhile, and also beat Hungary to nil at home in this competition, and a Greece win to nil improves those odds to 5/6.
The Greeks only needed a single goal to beat Estonia last time they met, and it was a 1-0 win against Finland last time out too. Under 1.5 goals will return 2/1 with Betfair and Paddy Power.
Greece to win by one goal is 21/10 with Betfair and Paddy Power, meanwhile, while you an get 4/9 from Betfair on a Greece clean sheet.
Greece can sign off their UEFA Nations League with another home win and a clean sheet would ensure a decent return from the tournament – even if it will not be enough to earn promotion.
Greece captain Vasilis Torisidis will win his 100th cap in defence against Estonia, but there could be a change in the middle after Kostas Manolas was withdrawn early on against Finland last time out. Vasilis Lampropopoulos could start in his place, though it was Dimitirs Siovas who replaced Manolas last time out. With Orestis Karnezis not in the squad in goal, Odysseas Vlachodimos made his first Greek appearance and is likely to win his second cap against Estonia. There could also be an international debut at some point for Giorgos Masouras up front.
Kostas Mitroglou – Scored the winner against Hungary and the Marseille striker has 17 goals in 64 appearances for Greece in total.
Vasilis Torosidis – The captain will want to mark his 100th cap with a team clean sheet, while he has also scored ten international goals.
Kostas Fortounis – The Olympiakos midfielder scored the winner when these two teams last met – one of four international goals in 38 appearances.
Greece beat Finland 1-0 last time out after a first-half own goal, but having lost 2-0 in the reverse fixture last month they now can not finish ahead of the group leaders. Greece’s other home game in the group ended in a 1-0 win – Kostas Mitroglou scoring the only goal as Hungary were defeated – but Hungary had previously won 2-1 in Budapest despite Kostas Manolas scoring. Greece’s other UEFA Nations League match saw them beat Estonia 1-0 in Tallinn with Kostas Fortounis netting.
With no Karol Mets in the squad, Estonia’s defence continues to take on a younger, less experienced look – Enar Jaager and Ragnar Klavan have not been called up since September, while fellow centurion Dmitri Kruglov’s last match was in March. Henri Anier is suspended after his yellow card against Hungary, which could mean a start for Ats Purje.
Ats Purje – Set to start up front in place of suspended Henri Anier, having scored ten goals in his previous 69 international appearances.
Konstantin Vassiljev – Vastly-experienced Piast Gliwice midfielder is now on 109 caps and 23 international goals.
Sander Puri – The Waterford winger will win his 75th cap against Greece – he has scored four goals so far and would love to improve that record.
Estonia have lost six and drawn one of their last seven games since their only win of the calendar year at home to Lithuania at Rakvere. They lost their first three UEFA Nations League games 1-0, at home to Greece and away and home to Finland, before a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Hungary. Siim Luts, an own goal and Henri Anier earned Estonia a point from that game. Hungary bounced back last time out, however, winning 2-0 in Budapest.
Watch Live Streaming