Borussia Dortmund VS Paris Saint Germain Match Prediction
2020-02-18
20:00:00
Borussia Dortmund
VS
Paris Saint Germain
Our Prediction Tip
Borussia Dortmund will win this match.
2020-02-1820:00:00 Borussia Dortmund will win this match.
This will be the first time Paris Saint-Germain and Borussia Dortmund have met in Europe since drawing both matches in the 2010-11 Europa League group stage – 1-1 in Germany and 0-0 in France a fortnight later.
Expect goals in this match as Dortmund – 19 goals in five games – take on Paris Saint-Germain, who have scored 20 in their last five. Both teams have conceded eight apiece in that timeframe too.
Jadon Sancho and Erling Haaland lead the way for Dortmund, to compensate for the absence of Marco Reus, while Neymar’s return means PSG could play a front four of extreme attacking quality and still leave Edinson Cavani out.
Attacking strength, in short, will be in no shortage ahead of this match.
The difference then will be who can keep things tight at the other end and both sides have had recent poor results in that regard.
PSG’s four goals conceded last time out was with a much-changed defence, however, and Dortmund’s two high-scoring away defeats are sandwiched by good home form at both ends of the pitch.
Dortmund’s European record is not great either, but their exciting young team did enough to reach the knock-out stages before they added Erling Haaland to their number for the rest of the season too.
PSG’s European form is much better but it is in the knock-out stages they have tended to come apart and they need to get over that mental block.
Dortmund’s home advantage could be the clincher in this leg – but expect plenty from both teams and for this tie to still be very much alive come the second leg.
PSG are favourites to win this game, but Borussia Dortmund’s home advantage should not be discounted and they are 19/10 to win with 888sport.
Both teams to score has been set at a best price of just 2/5 with Bet365 and Betway.
Over 2.5 goals will return 4/9 with Betfair, while over 3.5 goals is a best price of 11/10 with Betfair.
The attacking talent on display is numerous, and Erling Haaland is 11/10 to score at any time with 888sport, while Kylan Mbappe is 13/10 with Ladbrokes and Neymar is 29/20 with 888sport.
Borussia Dortmund have a good home record in Europe and recent matches for both teams suggest you can expect goals in this one.
Marco Reus and Thomas Delaney are out injured, which is a big double blow for Dortmund, while Julian Brandt’s ankle problem compounds that. It is likely to be Thorgan Hazard with Haaland and Sancho in Dortmund’s front three as a result.
Erling Haaland – Hit the ground running and then some at Dortmund, including five goals in his last three home matches.
Jadon Sancho – The English teenager continued his good goalscoring form at the weekend amid rumours of a big-money move back to the Premier League in the summer.
Mats Hummels – The experienced centre-back will lead the Dortmund defence against one of the most fearsome attacking sides in world football.
After high-scoring defeats to Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen in their last two matches, Borussia Dortmund got back to winning ways last time out. At home to Eintracht Frankfurt, Lukasz Piszczek, Jadon Sancho, Erling Haaland and Raphael Guerreiro all scored in a 4-0 Dortmund win. They had previously hit five in both of their two previous home games.
Neymar should overcome a rib injury to start against Borussia Dortmund, while Kylian Mbappe is likely to come into the attack too – Julian Draxler and Edinson Cavani could be the two to make way. Marco Verratti stepped off the bench to lead a much-improved second-half against Amiens last time out and he is likely to start, as is Marquinhos who also featured as a second-half substitute.
Kylian Mbappe – Already has a hat-trick to his name in this season’s Champions League and he now has 23 goals in 27 appearances in total.
Mauro Icardi – Scored the 19th goal of his current loan spell last time out to move to 150 goals in his senior career.
Neymar – Expected to return from injury for this match and, while the Brazilian’s relationship with PSG has dimmed recently, he still has 15 goals in 18 matches this season.
Paris Saint-Germain have scored 14 goals in their last three matches but they conceded four last time out too, with a much-changed team for their away league game against Amiens. They hit back from 3-0 down to lead 4-3 thanks to Mauro Icardi’s goal but eventually drew 4-4. It followed their 6-1 win at Dijon in the Coupe de France, while they beat Lyon 4-2 in the league before that – Angel di Maria, Kylian Mbappe, an own goal and Edinson Cavani seeing them to victory.
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