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Chile vs Peru Prediction & Betting Tips

Defending champions Chile's bid to reach a third consecutive Copa America final continues when they take on Peru in the semi-finals.

Chile vs Peru Prediction & Betting Tips
CHI W L W D L Chile
VS 04 Jul 2019
Peru PER W L W D L
10000 Offer Available

Match Information

 Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre, Brazil Arena do Gremio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Non-Tournament Matches Copa America
  • Key Stat

    Key Stat: Peru have not reached the Copa America final since winning the tournament in 1975, losing in the semi-finals in both 2011 and 2015.

  • Expert Verdict

    Expert Verdict: Chile went into the Copa America in poor form, but improved results in the group stage and a quarter-final win on penalties has given them a real chance of reaching another final. Peru also needed penalties to get through and were unconvincing in the group stage too - Chile have the firepower to get past them.

Chile

Our prediction

Chile

ChileChile Team News, Updates and Facts

Chile Team News

Chile were back to full strength to face Colombia in the quarter-final and the same XI could start against Peru in this match. 

Chile Key Players

Alexis Sanchez – Goals against Japan and Ecuador in the group stage and then the winning penalty against Colombia suggest he has got his mojo back.
Eduardo Vargas – Scored twice against Japan and has 12 in his career in the Copa America – no other current player has more.
Arturo Vidal – Another of Chile’s leading players in this current generation, his creativity in the middle could be key.

Chile Team Form

Chile thrashed a young Japan 4-0 in their opening game, with Eduardo Vargas netting twice and Eric Pulgar and Alexis Sanchez also on target. Sanchez then scored the winner against Ecuador too, after Jose Pedro Fuenzalida’s opener had been cancelled out. With their place in the knock-out stages secure, Chile rested players for a 1-0 defeat to Uruguay but they reached the semi-finals after beating Colombia on penalties – the quarter-final had ended goalless, despite Chile having the better chances.

Chile Predicted Starting Line up

Expected Line up: 4-3-3

Chile likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Gabriel Arias

  • Defenders:Mauricio Isla, Gary Medel, Guillermo Maripan, Jean Beausejour

  • Midfielders:Charles Aranguiz, Eric Pulgar, Arturo Vidal

  • Forwards:Jose Fuenzalida, Eduardo Vargas, Alexis Sanchez

PeruPeru Team News, Updates and Facts

Peru Team News

Andre Carillo, Edison Flores and Christian Cueva formed the attacking triumvirate behind Paolo Guerrero last time out, with the former two having started the tournament on the bench. This appears to be Peru’s best line-up, however, and it is one that is set to remain unchanged to face Chile.

Peru Key Players

Paolo Guerrero – His goal in the win against Bolivia means he too, like Chile’s Vargas, has a joint-high 12 Copa America goals to his name in total.
Christian Cueva – Winning goals in two of Peru’s recent friendlies highlight his importance playing in behind Guerrero.
Edison Flores – Scored Peru’s most recent goal – the third in the win against Bolivia – to prove himself after starting the tournament on the bench.

Peru Team Form

Peru have only scored in one of their four matches so far in this tournament – a 3-1 win against Bolivia in their second group game. After going behind to a first-half penalty, Paolo Guerrero, Jefferson Farfan and Edison Flores scored for Peru. It followed a goalless draw with Venezuela and preceded a 5-0 thrashing by hosts Brazil, but Peru still went through. In the quarter-finals they drew 0-0 with Uruguay but won on penalties to reach the semi-finals.

Peru Predicted Starting Line up

Expected Line up: 4-2-3-1

Peru likely XI

  • Goalkeeper:Pedro Gallese

  • Defenders:Luis Advincula, Carlos Zambrano, Luis Abram, Miguel Trauco

  • Defensive Midfielders:Renato Tapia, Yoshimar Yotun

  • Attacking Midfielders:Edison Flores, Christian Cueva, Andre Carillo

  • Forwards:Paulo Guerrero

Chile vs Peru Head-to-Head Stats

Chile have a dominant record in this fixture – winning 45 and drawing 14 of their 81 matches. They beat Peru last time they met in a Copa America semi-final, in 2015, and also won both matches against the Peruvians during World Cup 2018 qualifying. Last time they met, however, in a friendly in October, Pedro Aquino scored two late goals after Enzo Roco’s own goal to earn Peru a 3-0 win.

CHI vs PER Betting Tips

Back-to-back defending champions Chile were in poor form ahead of this tournament but are once again in with a great shout of reaching the final.

On paper, at least, they are a better team than Peru and can book their place in a third straight final.

Alexis Sanchez has regained his mojo, scoring twice so far, while Eduardo Vargas netted twice against Japan.

It is a strong attacking line-up that can breach a Peruvian defence that conceded five times against Brazil.

Peru, by contrast, have drawn blanks in three of their four games despite having Paolo Guerrero spear-heading their attack.

Keep Guerrero quiet and Chile have got a great chance of finding the decisive touch at the other end.  They have already kept Colombia quiet too in reaching this stage of the tournament.

It seemed unlikely going into the tournament, and they will still be outsiders if they do reach the final, but Chile are definitely favourites to reach the Rio showpiece now.

Peru vs Chile Recommended bets with odds

Chile have the stronger team on paper and they are 10/11 to beat Peru with Betfair and Betway.

Peru’s problem has been scoring goals, having failed to do so in three of their four matches, and you can bet against both teams to score at 13/20 with Betfair.

A Chile win to nil returns 7/4 with Bet365, meanwhile, and Chile to keep a clean sheet is priced at 11/10 with Bet365.

At the other end, Eduardo Vargas is 21/10 to score at any time with Paddy Power and Betfair, while Alexis Sanchez is 5/2 with both.

Chile vs Peru Prediction

Chile’s Copa America title defence goes on and they are now favourites to reach a third consecutive final. They have the firepower to do so too.

Correct Score Prediction: Chile 1-0 Peru

Who will win Chile vs Peru?

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