Burton Albion VS Derby County Match Prediction

  • Logo2016-08-26
  • Logo18:45:00
Burton Albion
VS
Derby County

Our Prediction Tip

Burton Albion will win this match.

It might come as no surprise to learn that these two sides have never met in a competitive match, primarily because Burton Albion have largely languished in the lower reaches of English football in recent times. They will break new ground on Friday night.

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Burton Albion vs Derby County: Prediction

These two couldn’t have had more different starts to the Championship campaign, and yet they find themselves separated by just a solitary point in the lower reaches of the league table.

All four of Burton’s matches have witnessed at least three goals, with 3-4 and 1-2 defeats followed by a 3-1 win and a 2-2 draw. That record alone makes them a rather unpredictable outfit, but one thing their fans is guaranteed is plenty of goalmouth action. 

It couldn’t have been any more different for Derby, who have recorded two 0-0 draws, a 1-0 win and a 0-2 defeat. Something will have to give in this classic clash of styles. We’re left with a match that is too tough to call one way or the other, but with the bookmakers undervaluing Burton completely at least there is plenty for punters to work with. The draw looks the most likely outcome here.

Burton Albion vs Derby County Betting Tips

The bookmakers have been kind to us here and served up an absolute steal in the Burton Albion Double Chance market at 4/5. That means you can almost double your money whether Burton win or take a draw – both options look perfectly valid here.

For Derby to win they have two jobs to do: scoring themselves (a feat they have failed to achieve in 75% of their league matches this term) and somehow stop this Burton side – who are netting at an average of 2.20 goals per game and who have had the second most shots on target in the division - from scoring. Good luck with that.

Rather than seeking out further betting tips from this match, invest your bankroll into the Burton Double Chance.

An okay start to life in the Championship for Burton Albion has been made somewhat more comfortable by an impressive run in the past fortnight which includes a win over promotion-fancied Sheffield Wednesday and a creditable point at St Andrews against Birmingham City. They will be hoping to make that three unbeaten against Derby on Friday.

Burton Albion likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:- Jon McLaughlin

  • Defenders:- Ben Turner, Kyle McFadzean, John Mousinho

  • Midfielders:- Lucas Akins, Tom Naylor, Matt Palmer, Jackson Irvine, Lloyd Dyer

  • Forwards:- Stuart Beavon, Chris O’Grady

Below par is how we can describe Derby County’s start to the campaign with just one win in four, and while new manager Nigel Pearson is fresh into the dugout the pressure might just start to mount if his side can’t force a victory at the Pirelli Stadium in this encounter.

Derby County likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:- Scott Carson

  • Defenders:- Cyrus Christie, Craig Forsythe, Richard Keogh, Jason Shackell

  • Midfielders:- Will Hughes, Craig Bryson, Jacob Butterfield

  • Forwards:- Johnny Russell, Tom Ince, Chris Martin

Clearly, Derby have the more talented squad of these two clubs and should be performing a lot better than they are in the Championship. But we can only take things on face value, and at the moment Burton look the more likely side to win football matches given their propensity for putting the ball in the back of the net. The bookmakers consistently undervalued Leicester City during their assault on the Premier League title last season, and it looks like they may be repeating their mistake with Burton this time around. Make sure you take advantage while their prices remain so generous.
The key stat has to be the contrasting form of the two sides in front of goal: Burton\'s matches average 4.50 goals per game, while Derby\'s are at just 0.75. Something has to give here, but it surely won\'t be Burton\'s undefeated streak.