Borussia Mgladbach VS Bayer Leverkusen Match Prediction

  • Logo2016-08-27
  • Logo16:30:00
Borussia Mgladbach
VS
Bayer Leverkusen

Our Prediction Tip

Draw will win this match.

Bayer Leverkusen have enjoyed the majority of success in matches played between the two teams, winning 36.2% (25 of 69) compared to Mgladbach’s 26.1% (18 of 69). Interestingly, these two have drawn more matches than anything else (37.7%).

The recent history is a mixed bag, although Mgladbach have tended to dominate in fixtures played at their Borussia Park home; winning the last two 2-1 and 3-0. Indeed, Leverkusen have won there just once in their last five visits. 

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Borussia Mgladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction

It’s early days in the Bundesliga and fixtures like these are particularly difficult to predict. We would tend to give the hosts the edge given their home advantage, but this young Leverkusen side is so exciting, and with Javier Hernandez in their attack goals are never far away.

Mgladbach only lost three of seventeen at home in 2015/16, while Leverkusen avoided defeat in 66% of their outings on the road, so this match does have draw written all over it. 

That is lent weight by the historical data – it is so unusual to see the stalemate as the most common result between two sides dating back more than 50 years.

Borussia Mgladbach vs Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips

Five of the last six matches between these two have gone Over 2.5 Goals, which gives us a rather handy set of betting angles in. So we’re going to take the draw at 12/5, but with the goals count as discussed above then that means we can also back one or more of Over 2.5 Goals (4/5), Both Teams to Score (8/13), and the correct scorelines of 2-2 (14/1) and 3-3 (50/1).

There’s plenty for punters of all persuasions to get their teeth into there.
 

A fantastic fourth place finish for Mgladbach in 2015/16 then, and they will be hoping to achieve something similar this time around too. However, the loss of Granit Xhaka and Havard Nortveidt will be hard to stomach, so the likes of talented youngster Mahmoud Dahoud and new signing Christoph Kramer will need to step up to the plate in midfield.

Borussia Monchengladbach likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:- Yann Sommer

  • Defenders:- Ozcar Wendt, Tony Jantschke, Andreas Christensen, Jannik Vestergaard

  • Midfielders:- Mahmoud Dahoud, Thorgan Hazard, Lars Stindl, Fabian Johnson, Christoph Kramer

  • Forwards:- Raffael

With Mgladbach playing an all-important Champions League qualifier on Wednesday night, there is ample opportunity for Bayer Leverkusen to take advantage of any weary legs on Saturday. Roger Schmidt’s side were outstanding in 2015/16, finishing third, and the potential in his men suggests they could have the world at their feet.

Bayer Leverkusen likely XI:

  • Goalkeeper:- Bernd Leno

  • Defenders:- Jonathan Tah, Wendell, Tin Jedvaj, Kyriakos Papadopoulos

  • Midfielders:- Karim Bellarabi, Kevin Kampl, Lars Bender, Charles Aranguiz

  • Forwards:- Hakan Calhanoglu, Javier Hernandez

With a match between two evenly-matched sides who have a propensity to draw over the years, making a prediction one way or another is a bold strategy. You would initially hand a slim advantage to Mgladbach given that they have home advantage, but then we would take that right back knowing that they have a Champions League qualifier on Wednesday night that could result in tiredness and injuries. There\'s no doubt that these two sides will be battling it out for third place in the Bundesliga, so perhaps the draw – a result both sides would probably be happy with – is the likely outcome here.
Dating back to 1990, 17 of the 25 matches played between Borussia Mgladbach and Leverkusen at the former\'s home have ended in a draw.