MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, United States
Key Stat: The key stat in this contest is goals....lots of them. Some 58% of Bayern-Real matches have gone over 2.5 goals, and 70% of the United States/Europe leg of the International Champions Cup matches have recorded the same. As such, this looks the likely outcome once again on August 4.
Expert Verdict: Two of the best teams in Europe will lock horns here and regardless of the seriousness of the competition, or the nature of the starting line-ups on show, spectators can expect a fantastic game of football as a result.
The impression that neutral observers have gotten so far is that Bayern are slightly more ‘up’ for winning this competition than Real, and when push comes to shove that could be the key in what should otherwise be a close contest. Bayern with a narrow victory looks the likely outcome.
As ever with friendly competitions – no matter how competitive they are – predicting a starting line-up is a tricky task. Bayern, with two wins from two in this International Champions Cup so far, may take this opportunity to rest some players against a Real Madrid that has appeared slightly disinterested in the competition to date.
Tom Starke (GK); Rafinha, Javi Martinez, David Alaba, Juan Bernat (DEF); Phillip Lahm, Thiago (MID); Arturo Vidal, Franck Ribery, Erdal Ozturk, Milos Pantovic, Julian Green (ATT).
It's been a bizarre tournament thus far from Real Madrid: they looked hugely impressive in seeing off Chelsea 3-2 last time out after being humbled by PSG in their opener. Will the real Real please stand up!
Iker Casillas (GK); Dani Carvajal, Raphael Varane, Nacho, Marcelo (DEF); Casemiro, Mateo Kovacic, Lucas Vazquez (MID); Asensio, Mariano, Alvaro Morata (ATT).
Given the rich history that these two clubs have in continental football, it is no surprise to learn that they have met a total of 17 times in the past. Bayern have won nine of those meetings, Real seven and one stalemate has taken place.
Of their last five meetings, all of which have take place in 2012 or after, it is Real who have the upper hand however with three victories to two.
You may recall that Bayern Munich won this competition in 2015 – it was known as the Audi Cup back then – and so their motivation to succeed in what is a friendly tournament is a real bonus for punters.
It is hard to predict just how Real Madrid will fare in the competition; they have taken the opportunity to blood youngsters thus far, and yet three of their four goals have been scored by veteran left back Marcelo!
Bayern have a little more quality than this particular Real squad, certainly in attacking areas, and that could well be the difference maker here in a close contest.
The omens are good for goals in this match. Seven of the last twelve meetings between these two sides have witnessed over 2.5 goals, and that has been a particular theme of this ICC event too, where 7/10 have witnessed the magic mark. That gives us a coefficient of over 60% for the same here, so take the 8/11 on offer.
As far as the match winner is concerned, it is too close to call; although Bayern's greater appetite for success makes their price of 6/5 slightly more edifying than it should be.