Atalanta VS Lazio Match Prediction
2019-05-15
18:45:00
Atalanta
VS
Lazio
Our Prediction Tip
Atalanta will win this match.
2019-05-1518:45:00 Atalanta will win this match.
this season, winning 1-0 just before Christmas before their 3-1 away win ten days ago. Marco Parolo gave Lazio an early lead in that game, but Duvan Zapata, Timoty Castagne and a Wallace own goal ensured Atalanta won.
Here are the results of their last five competitive matches:
May 05, 2019: Lazio 1-3 Atalanta
Dec 17, 2018: Atalanta 1-0 Lazio
May 06, 2018: Lazio 1-1 Atalanta
Dec 17, 2017: Atalanta 3-3 Lazio
Jan 15, 2017: Lazio 2-1 Atalanta
Lazio have history in this competition but it is Atalanta who are favourites in the present. They are fourth in Serie A, on the brink of another year in the Champions League, and looking for silverware in Rome too.
Most importantly, they have beaten Lazio twice already this season – with their most recent win just days before this game.
Duvan Zapata is in great goalscoring form, while they have been fairly fortunate with injuries too – Rafael Toloi is the only absentee.
A similar Atalanta side to that game could take to the field for this one, therefore, whereas Lazio are battling injuries.
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is likely to be one absentee, though they should at least welcome Ciro Immobile back to the starting line-up.
Nevertheless, Atalanta are favourites for this one and with good cause too – their league form is better and their attack has been more potent of late.
They have players for the big occasion too, even if this is their first Coppa Italia final for more than two decades.
Atalanta have beaten Lazio twice in the league this season, and now they can add a cup final win to that tally too.
Atalanta are favourites to win but only just – and some bookmakers are split on both teams. Bet365 are offering 13/8 on an Atalanta win and on Lazio to win.
Both teams to score has been set at a best price of 8/13 with Bet365, while Atalanta to win and BTTS is 15/4 with Bet365 and 888sport.
Over 2.5 goals has been set at 4/5 with Bet365, meanwhile.
Atalanta have had to come from behind in a couple of recent games, including against Lazio, and Lazio to score first is 20/21 with Bet365 – the same price they are offering on Atalanta.
Atalanta beat Lazio just ten days ago and a repeat performance will see them lift the Coppa Italia in Rome.
Rafael Toloi (tendon) remains sidelined for Atalanta, but they could field a similar team to that which beat Lazio in Serie A just ten days before this match as there are no new injury worries.
Duvan Zapata – The Colombian striker’s goal when these two teams last met was his 27th of the season, and he also has eight assists to his name.
Josip Ilicic – The winger equalised in the semi-final second leg from the spot and now has 12 goals and nine assists to his name this season.
Papu Gomez – Atalanta’s most creative plater with 13 assists so far this season, to complement the ten he has scored himself – a tally which includes the semi-final second leg winner.
Atalanta go into this game on the back of a five-match winning streak, which includes the 2-1 home win against Fiorentina – courtesy of Josip Ilicic’s penalty and Alejandro Gomez’s strike – that sealed their semi-final victory. They have also beaten Lazio already in this run – again coming from behind as Duvan Zapata, Timoty Castagne and an own goal ensured a 3-1 away win. Last time out, Musa Barrow and Castagne scored second-half goals in a 2-1 win against Genoa.
Sergej Milinkovic-Savic faces a late fitness test as he fights to overcome his ankle injury in time to feature. A place on the bench appears the most likely, however. Lazio are also without long-term absentees Jordan Lukaku and Valon Berisha, while Thomas Strakosha is out with an Achilles injury. Ciro Immobile is likely to return after dropping to the bench at the weekend.
Ciro Immobile – As ever, Lazio’s leading man up front – the Italy international has 18 goals and 11 assists so far this season.
Marco Parolo – His early opener when these sides last met was his sixth goal of the season from central midfield.
Felipe Caicedo – Batting with Joaquin Correa for the second-striker role, but the Ecuadorian striker offers something different with his height and power.
Lazio have lost four of their last nine matches, including their 3-1 home defeat to Atalanta when these sides last met. Marco Parolo scored an early opener in that game, but Lazio succumbed to defeat. Most recently, however, they bounced back by beating Cagliari. Luis Alberto and Joaquin Correa scored in a 2-1 win, with Cagliari’s goal coming in the final minute.
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