Atletico Madrid VS PSV Eindhoven Match Prediction

Saul's goal shortly before half-time was enough to give Atletico Madrid a 1-0 win against PSV on MD1, while these sides also met in the Champions League last season, when the La Liga outfit went through to the quarter-finals via penalties after two 0-0 draws in the last-16. Prior to that, Atletico beat PSV 3-0 in Eindhoven in the 2008/09 group stage and won 2-1 in the reverse fixture in the same season's competition.
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Atletico Madrid vs PSV Prediction

A couple of defeats back-to-back in the league means Atletico Madrid are unusually vulnerable, but PSV are not playing well either and may be unable to take advantage. It is likely to be close - three meetings between the sides in the last year have yielded a total of one goal - but the hosts are the most likely victors, which would extend the only perfect record in the competition. 

Atletico also have the carrot of being able to claim top spot if they win on Wednesday and Bayern Munich fail to win their MD5 fixture away to Russian side Rostov. A close home win is predicted.

Atletico Madrid vs PSV Betting Tips and Odds

Atletico Madrid are very strong at home so it is not a surprise they are big favourites in the betting, with 6/19 the best price available on the hosts for this game. The draw could be good value at 9/2 in the match odds betting, while PSV to claim an away win can be backed at a big price of 12/1.

Goals are not likely here and under 2.5 goals looks very likely at 11/10, with under 1.5 goals also worth taking on at a price of 10/3 here. A 1-0 home win feels like the most probable outcome and this can be backed in the correct scores betting at tempting odds of 6/1. Atletico Madrid to win with under 2.5 goals scored in the game is also recommended here at 27/11.

Predicted scoreline: 1-0 to Atletico Madrid.

Atletico Madrid have lost back-to-back league games going into this match to slip out of contention in the La Liga title race and they have not even scored in those games. Antoine Griezmann is not fully fit and may be left out to recover his fitness, with Kevin Gameiro and Fernando Torres partnered in attack instead. Augusto Fernandez is out for several months with a serious knee injury and as Filipe Luis is a booking away from a ban he could be given the night off.

PSV have only won one of their last five and two of their last 10 games in all competitions, so like Atletico they come into this Group D clash in a poor spell of form. PSV are currently bottom of the group and cannot progress, but they could earn a Europa League spot by finishing third.

The loss of key midfielder Andres Guardado to a thigh injury is a major blow to PSV's plans, while Jurgen Locadia and Jorrit Hendrix are both expected to miss out, but Jeroen Zoet should be back.

PSV are struggling to make an impact in the Champions League this season, whereas four wins out of four in Group D ensures Atletico Madrid are already in the next round. The La Liga side will be smarting from a 3-0 derby defeat to Real Madrid at the weekend and will be keen to bounce back from that defeat in style here. It could be close, but Atleti should win it.

Atletico Madrid have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches against PSV in all competitions, which gives us a solid clue for our prediction for this Champions League clash.